Prediction of Victor Lilov vs Juan Estevez at M15 Lima 12-03-25

• Is there a noticeable difference in second serve performance? Victor Lilov slightly leads with a 40.46% win rate in recent months, compared to Juan Estevez's 38.86%.
• Regarding opponents' second serve return stats, Juan Estevez outperforms Victor Lilov, winning 47.50% of points compared to Lilov's 44.63%.
• On first serve returns, Juan Estevez again holds an edge, winning 32.78% while Lilov manages 26.97%.
• How do they fare under pressure? Lilov saves 53.97% of breakpoints, marginally outperforming Estevez's 52.43%.
• In overall performance, Estevez's win record over the last year is slightly better at 59.70%, compared to Lilov's 56.86%.
• Which surface favors each player? Victor Lilov performs best on indoor hard courts, winning 58%, whereas Juan Estevez excels on clay, with a 58% win rate as well.
• Both players primarily compete in $10K Futures/ITF tournaments. Estevez has a stronger showing, winning 67.27% of matches, against Lilov's 58.33%.
• In head-to-head encounters, Lilov has defeated Estevez in their only match, indicating a psychological advantage.
• Average opponent quality showcases Lilov against slightly tougher competitors, with an average rank of 401.49, compared to Estevez's 477.43.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Lilov is more reliable, having won 57% of such sets versus Estevez's 22% success rate.
• Both players are close in breakpoint conversion, with Estevez at 32.37% and Lilov at 31.00%.

Editorial Prediction (December 3, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing recent performances, Victor Lilov displays a slight edge in critical areas like second serve performance, breakpoint savability, and historical head-to-head outcomes against Juan Estevez.

Estevez, however, compensates with solid return stats, both on first and second serves, which could make him a formidable opponent especially if he capitalizes on Lilov's first serve.

While Estevez holds a better overall win record at a similar event level, Lilov's capability in pressure situations and deciding sets significantly bolsters his chances.

Considering these factors, Victor Lilov emerges as the likely victor in this matchup, based on his slight statistical advantages and previous head-to-head win.